Penguins vs. Flyers Prediction & Picks - March 7

The Pittsburgh Penguins (31-17-13) take on the Philadelphia Flyers (28-22-11) at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday, March 7 at 5:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Penguins fell to the Buffalo Sabres 5-1 in their last game, while the Flyers are coming off a 3-0 loss to the Utah Mammoth.

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As hockey play continues, prepare for the matchup by checking out which squad we project to pick up the victory in Saturday's game.

The Flyers' offense has totaled 22 goals in their last 10 outings, while their defense has conceded 25 goals. They have had 29 power-play opportunities during that span, and have scored five goals (17.2%). They are 4-4-2 over those contests.

Penguins vs. Flyers Predictions for Saturday

Our computer model for this matchup calls for a final score of Penguins 4, Flyers 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Penguins (-137)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.0 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Flyers (+1.5)

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Penguins Splits and Trends

• The Penguins are 31-17-13 overall and 4-13-17 in overtime games.
• Pittsburgh is 7-7-5 (19 points) in its 19 games decided by one goal.
• Looking at the seven times this season the Penguins finished a game with only one goal, they have a 0-4-3 record, good for three points.
• Pittsburgh has taken four points from the nine games this season when it scored exactly two goals (0-5-4 record).
• The Penguins are 31-4-6 in the 41 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 68 points).
• In the 20 games when Pittsburgh has scored a lone power-play goal, it registered 24 points after finishing 10-6-4.
• In the 34 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Pittsburgh is 14-12-8 (36 points).
• The Penguins' opponents have had more shots in 22 games. The Penguins finished 12-5-5 in those contests (29 points).

Flyers Splits and Trends

• The Flyers (28-22-11 overall) have posted a record of 9-11-20 in games that have required OT this season.
• Philadelphia has earned 16 points (4-4-8) in its 16 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• This season the Flyers registered only one goal in 12 games and have gone 0-9-3 (three points).
• When Philadelphia has scored two goals this season, they've earned 12 points (4-5-4 record).
• The Flyers have scored at least three goals 33 times, earning 52 points from those matchups (24-5-4).
• This season, Philadelphia has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 18 games has a record of 10-5-3 in those matchups.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Philadelphia has posted a record of 12-9-3 (27 points).
• The Flyers have been outshot by opponents in 33 games, going 15-12-6 to register 36 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Penguins vs. Flyers Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 5:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

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