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Michigan vs. Alabama Predictions - NCAA Tournament

A Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament matchup features the No. 1 Michigan Wolverines (33-3) and No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (25-9) to determine which of the teams is heading to the Midwest regional final when it tips off on Friday at United Center, beginning at 7:35 p.m. ET, airing on TBS.

The Wolverines face the Crimson Tide in a game that Michigan is currently a strong favorite by 9.5 points. The game has a point total of 172.5.

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Michigan vs. Alabama Odds and Game Info

  • Game day: Friday, March 27, 2026
  • Game time: 7:35 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: TBS
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Arena: United Center
  • Live stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Michigan vs. Alabama Odds and Prediction

  • Spread favorite: Michigan (-9.5)
  • Moneyline: Michigan (-508), Alabama (+368)
  • Total: 172.5 points

Pick ATS:Alabama (+9.5)

  • Pick OU: Under (172.5)
  • Prediction: Michigan 86, Alabama 80

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Michigan vs. Alabama Comparison

Michigan Rank Michigan Stat Alabama Stat Alabama Rank
9th 87.4 Points Scored 91.6 1st
65th 69.6 Points Allowed 82.5 351st
4th 18.8 Assists 16.4 44th
249th 11.6 Turnovers 9.6 49th
4th 51.1% Field Goal % 45.8% 142nd
3rd 38.7% Field Goal % Allowed 43.0% 99th

Michigan Key Players

  • Yaxel Lendeborg leads the Wolverines in scoring, tallying 14.7 points per game to go with 6.9 rebounds and 3.2 assists.
  • Michigan's leading rebounder is Morez Johnson Jr. averaging 7.3 boards per game and its best passer is Elliot Cadeau, averaging 5.7 assists per game.
  • Lendeborg leads the Wolverines in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 1.6 shots per game from beyond the arc.
  • The Michigan steals leader is Lendeborg, who averages 1.1 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Aday Mara, who compiles 2.7 rejections per contest.

Alabama Key Players

  • Labaron Philon averages 21.6 points and tacks on 5.0 assists per game, and is at the top of the Crimson Tide's leaderboards in those statistics.
  • Amari Allen's stat line of 7.0 rebounds, 11.6 points and 3.1 assists per game secures the top spot on the Alabama rebounding leaderboard.
  • Latrell Wrightsell Jr. is the most prolific from deep for the Crimson Tide, hitting 2.8 threes per game.
  • Alabama's leader in steals is Philon with 1.2 per game, and its leader in blocks is Aiden Sherrell with 2.2 per game.

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